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Re: Current Events Thread
Randall, maybe this explains the earlier FOX-NYT discrepancy you noticed.
My best guess is that the Fox needle is a county model, much like the NYT needle in 2016--the kind that we believed would be far too biased by vote method this year. If your needle doesn't know that the vote left is Election Day vote, it's going to be wrong
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 4, 2020
Re: Current Events Thread
It’s gonna happen. Polls are a complete joke. Maybe those 50k person rallies do matter.
They always matter. It's how you gauge the excitement for a candidate.
Without the DNC, Biden never gets out of the primaries.
This "crowds mean nothing" narrative that was cooked up was insane.
- Randall Flagg
- Rep: 139
Re: Current Events Thread
bigbri wrote:James wrote:Trump just pulled ahead in PA.
only 9% of Philly reporting so far; it’s early but we know the POLLS WERE WRONG AGAIN.
PA just decided to stop counting absentee votes? This close? WTF?
This is the case going to SCOTUS. Realistically, all the votes received after today won’t be allowed to be counted. Our governor decided to arbitrarily extend the election. The court was 4-4 previously and told the state to segregate those ballots to look at after the election. With ACB, that’s 5-4.
Re: Current Events Thread
bigbri wrote:James wrote:Trump just pulled ahead in PA.
only 9% of Philly reporting so far; it’s early but we know the POLLS WERE WRONG AGAIN.
PA just decided to stop counting absentee votes? This close? WTF?
It's the hail mary state.
I don't think Trump is even going to need it.
Re: Current Events Thread
Progressive Twitter:
If Trump wins re-election, it’s on white people. No one else.
— Jemele Hill (@jemelehill) November 4, 2020
The early results suggest that it is entirely possible that Biden loses Florida because of Latino voters but wins Ohio (and the presidency) because of white voters, which would be truly wild
— Zack Beauchamp (zackbeauchamp@bsky.social) (@zackbeauchamp) November 4, 2020
WHITE PEOPLE!
Re: Current Events Thread
misterID wrote:bigbri wrote:only 9% of Philly reporting so far; it’s early but we know the POLLS WERE WRONG AGAIN.
PA just decided to stop counting absentee votes? This close? WTF?
This is the case going to SCOTUS. Realistically, all the votes received after today won’t be allowed to be counted. Our governor decided to arbitrarily extend the election. The court was 4-4 previously and told the state to segregate those ballots to look at after the election. With ACB, that’s 5-4.
That isnt the case. Its Election Day today!! The votes are received. The machines can only handle 10,000 an hour. So the votes are in, the machines just havent run them yet.
Calm down.
