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- Smoking Guns
- Rep: 330
Re: US Politics Thread
Smoking Guns wrote:johndivney wrote:I hate "remember when" conversations but... remember when that shit actor Paul walker died in a blaze of a car crash - How Axlin eulogised about him like he was his boyfriend? Good times. Jeez that guy should post more, he'd fit in well in this current climate of stupid. He was like head honcho stupido, or at least a strong contender. He's got a bit more competition these days..
Axlin would eat your lunch and you would let him. You talk big now but he would destroy you in an efight. Haha.
Don't think so, fatty. While I understand his redneck wrestling lingo, he doesn't understand anything else. I'm the reason you're not subjected to his avalanche of retardation anymore.
http://www.gnrevolution.com/viewtopic.p … 12#p294612
Axlin16 wrote:It's all a roose
Yeah.... Even his spellcheck is fuckin stupid.
Grammar check, that will teach them!!! Haha. Maybe one day I will be fat, but that day isn't here yet. You seem like a really angry bloke today.
Re: US Politics Thread
Looks like the crazies were right again:
From attachment -
Florida: "On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first."
"A microtargeting project with oversamples in specific regions or with Independents"
Iowa: "Oversample of No Party registrants and 'soft' supporters of Democratic and Republican nominees."
Missouri: "Consider individual polls for specific media markets, or at least oversamples for important regions."
Virginia: "Increasingly large Democratic margins in Northern Virginia are making the state much more competitive. The division of the Washington, D.C. market into 'D.C. inner' and 'D.C. outer' has been a common practice in recent statewide campaigns. Oversample these voters"
West Virginia: "Regional differences in jobs and coal in West Virginia should be explored by micro-targeting programs, oversamples in regions and focus groups."
Minnesota: "Consider focus groups or an oversampling of the following blocs of infrequent progressive voters: youth (18-29) vote (96,000 infrequent progressive voters), urban apartment dwellers (45,000), urban African Americans (24,000), Somali, Native American, and Urban Hmong (5,000)."
Re: US Politics Thread
I hate to break it to you, but that appears to be "internal polling."
Even if its not, that's why you use Nate Silver. He adjusts poll results by looking at the raw data. That's why that LA Times poll that oversamples GOP and has Trump leading almost always is a Clinton win on 538.
Re: US Politics Thread
I hate to break it to you, but that appears to be "internal polling."
You only think that because of the chemtrails from the lizard people.
You shouldn't actually be attempting to read this yourself. You need Breibart and Alex Jones to tell us first what it all means. They know what's going on!
Re: US Politics Thread
Trump's insane clown posse constituency....
The Price I’ve Paid for Opposing Donald Trump
I distinctly remember the first time I saw a picture of my then-seven-year-old daughter’s face in a gas chamber. It was the evening of September 17, 2015. I had just posted a short item to the Corner calling out notorious Trump ally Ann Coulter for aping the white-nationalist language and rhetoric of the so-called alt-right. Within minutes, the tweets came flooding in. My youngest daughter is African American, adopted from Ethiopia, and in alt-right circles that’s an unforgivable sin. It’s called “race-cucking” or “raising the enemy.”
I saw images of my daughter’s face in gas chambers, with a smiling Trump in a Nazi uniform preparing to press a button and kill her. I saw her face photo-shopped into images of slaves. She was called a “niglet” and a “dindu.” The alt-right unleashed on my wife, Nancy, claiming that she had slept with black men while I was deployed to Iraq, and that I loved to watch while she had sex with “black bucks.” People sent her pornographic images of black men having sex with white women, with someone photoshopped to look like me, watching.
When we both publicized some of the racist attacks — I in National Review and Nancy in the Washington Post — things took a far more ominous turn. Late the next evening — while Nancy was, fortunately, offline attending a veterans’ charity event in D.C. — the darker quarters of the alt-right found her Patheos blog. Several different accounts began posting images and GIFs of extreme violence in her comments section.
Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/4 … p-movement
Re: US Politics Thread
I hate to break it to you, but that appears to be "internal polling."
Even if its not, that's why you use Nate Silver. He adjusts poll results by looking at the raw data. That's why that LA Times poll that oversamples GOP and has Trump leading almost always is a Clinton win on 538.
I'm not sure oversampling democrat leaning areas is what you want for your internal polling. There's also the part about making a list of recommendations for the media. The fact that almost every poll is oversampling democrat heavy groups is the meaty supporting evidence. Democrats turned out for Obama +7 in 08, these polls have an average of about +10. You really think Hillary is going to break the bank?
Nate somehow manages to consistently skew these polls oversampling democrats, women and college grads in favor of Hillary. I don't know why, but it could be the same reason he gave Trump even lower odds than he is giving him now to win the primaries.
Re: US Politics Thread
bigbri wrote:I hate to break it to you, but that appears to be "internal polling."
Even if its not, that's why you use Nate Silver. He adjusts poll results by looking at the raw data. That's why that LA Times poll that oversamples GOP and has Trump leading almost always is a Clinton win on 538.
Democrats turned out for Obama +7 in 08, these polls have an average of about +10. You really think Hillary is going to break the bank? .
She's running against a fucking piece of human garbage, so yeah, she might beat Obama in some demographics.
Re: US Politics Thread
Disgust is a poor motivator for turnout. Obama didn't turn out minorities in record numbers because McCain and Romney were hated. And let's not forget Republicans are way up compared to Democrats in the primaries.
There weren't hated like Trump. And Trump is actually a threat to people, so there's a big difference. Early voting so far indicates advantages for Hillary in the key battlegrounds except Ohio and Florida. Turnout is looking like it might be closer to Obama '08 instead of Obama '12. We'll see.
I am voting Thursday of this week. I've never done that before. I don't want to be stuck in long lines on Election Day. That's how confident I am it'll be heavy turnout.
Primary voting doesn't mean anything now.
