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Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
I read where the chances of Hilary winning all those coin tosses fairly is 1.56%.
They filmed and showed some of them on live TV. I don't see the conspiracy at least when it comes to coins.
One of the ones showed live had a un-amused Bernie representative calling the result. If you flip a coin twice, the chance of it landing on a different side the second time doesn't increase, just because it landed the other side first time. 1.56$
They'd also need to know in advance whether the Bernie side would call heads/tails and buy off everyone standing in the rooms and the camera/media.
I certainly wouldn't vote for either if they were running in this country and can understand concerns about vote rigging. Fixing 6/7 coin tosses that numbers wise are unlikely to really matter down the line, just seems to silly a conspiracy.
- Smoking Guns
- Rep: 330
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
They will rig this so Hillary wins. Don't think they won't. She already got fucked over once by Barack Obama. She won't let that shit happen again.
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
James Lofton wrote:I read where the chances of Hilary winning all those coin tosses fairly is 1.56%.
They filmed and showed some of them on live TV. I don't see the conspiracy at least when it comes to coins.
One of the ones showed live had a un-amused Bernie representative calling the result. If you flip a coin twice, the chance of it landing on a different side the second time doesn't increase, just because it landed the other side first time. 1.56$
They'd also need to know in advance whether the Bernie side would call heads/tails and buy off everyone standing in the rooms and the camera/media.
I certainly wouldn't vote for either if they were running in this country and can understand concerns about vote rigging. Fixing 6/7 coin tosses that numbers wise are unlikely to really matter down the line, just seems to silly a conspiracy.
In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.
But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.
You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim.
They will rig this so Hillary wins.
Of course they will. She is in the back pocket of the corporations. She also supports everything the neocons support which is why there are some high up republicans saying they'd vote for Hilary if Trump gets the nomination.
Don't underestimate the threat Trump represents to the establishment. The right hates him and the left hates him. Its why so many people like him. Normal Americans are sick of the continuous gridlock and partisan bickering by both sides when in the back room they pat each other on the back laughing while drinking scotch.
I'm not supporting this crap anymore. Nothing is ever going to change as long as the public continues to swallow the tripe they feed us.
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
For those who have played poker, if you have Ace King and meet pocket Aces, you are over 8 times more likely to win than Hillary in those coin flips. You are only slightly less likely to die in a transportation accident within the next year.
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
You are only slightly less likely to die in a transportation accident within the next year.
Sorry, but that's an extreme exaggeration. It's 1 in over 6,197 in the US and the US is significantly higher than in many other countries in the developed world and basically triple the odds of it happening in the UK.
How do you go from 1 in 64 (6/7 coin tosses) to 6,167?
It's just too silly. It's 50/50 each time you flip the coin, it doesn't lower you odds just because you won the previous time. These were all filmed and some were shown on live TV.
What is the benefit of winning 6/7 inconsequential in the long run coin tosses? If they bought of the Bernie reps, media and people filming things with their cellphones you should be impressed by the operation than worried 
.
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
What is the benefit of winning 6/7 inconsequential in the long run coin tosses? If they bought of the Bernie reps, media and people filming things with their cellphones you should be impressed by the operation than worried
I hate these Alex Jones-style nutjob conspiracy theories as much as the next guy, but the result of the coin tosses are not inconsequential, they are the difference between a narrow victory and a narrow loss. PR-wise, that's a world of difference. It is very clear that the Hillary reps did every small thing they could to skew the results in her favor, but that's par for the course in an asinine, old-fashioned voting system like a caucus. It's nothing illegal, but it is plain retarded.
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
It's just too silly. It's 50/50 each time you flip the coin, it doesn't lower you odds just because you won the previous time.
No, it doesn't. But the odds of winning all 6 are very small. Hillary got extremely lucky, she could just as well have had to concede to Bernie if she'd lost even two out of the six coin tosses.
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
AtariLegend wrote:It's just too silly. It's 50/50 each time you flip the coin, it doesn't lower you odds just because you won the previous time.
No, it doesn't. But the odds of winning all 6 are very small. Hillary got extremely lucky, she could just as well have had to concede to Bernie if she'd lost even two out of the six coin tosses.
There was more than 6 coin tosses and she didn't every one. 7 were actually reported upon, but people only care about the 6 that she won (though the Democratoc party claim Sanders won at least 6 coin tosses himself). If she had lost those that she won, it still wouldn't have made a difference.
You can complain about vote rigging, but rigging coin tosses that wouldn't have made a difference. It's completely farcical and paranoid.
- Smoking Guns
- Rep: 330
Re: 2016 Presidential Election Thread
Atari, Hilary won't lose, even if Bernie gets more votes... This shit is fixed... 2008 won't happen again.
